Monday, June 10, 2013

Roubini: Gold Has Topped 2009

Jun. 16, 2009, 3:36 PM 

For the next two years, deflationary pressure is going to be dominant, and it is going to become a time bomb down the line if and when we keep monetizing large deficits. It may be too soon to hedge with gold," he said.  "Unless we have high inflation, or...other risks like depression, gold looks toppy,"

http://www.businessinsider.com/roubini-gold-has-topped-2009-6#ixzz2Vs7q1IDr

http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2013-06-06/lies-nouriel-roubini-and-gold

On December 15, 2009, when gold was trading at $1122 per troy ounce, Nouriel Roubini stated, "Since gold has no intrinsic value…there are significant risks of a downward correction rather than a rapid rise towards $2,000, as today’s gold bugs claim” and gold “looks suspiciously like a bubble”. A 35% drop after a bubble bursting is a reasonable fall for “bubble” talk, which would have sent gold into the low $700s per ounce. A month earlier, Roubini had declared, “gold at $1,500 is utter nonsense.” So how did gold perform after Roubini hawked his “gold is a bubble” message all over the news? Not only did it never retreat back to $700 after Roubini ranted against gold, but it never retreated back to $800 or even $900, and in fact it soared to above $1,900 an ounce less than two years higher, a 69% surge higher that not only crushed Roubini’s “gold at $1,500 is utter nonsense” declaration, but made Roubini’s prediction of gold’s future price behavior utterly wrong by more than 100%.

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