Exchange-trade products betting that volatility will sink lower have never been more popular.
Even
as the CBOE Volatility Index plunges to its lowest on record and U.S.
stocks march to fresh highs, investors have continued to give the
short-volatility trade their vote of confidence this year. With $2.4
billion in assets, short volatility exchange-traded funds are backed by
the most cash on record, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
The
funds’ meteoric rise is to some degree a bet that the U.S. stock market
will keep rising, since the VIX and S&P 500 move in opposite
directions about 80 percent of the time. With the S&P 500 up 16 percent and at its highest on record, the $1.1 billion VelocityShare Daily Inverse VIX ETN has surged 141 percent, heading toward its best yearly performance in five years.
For now, the volatility bears have the momentum. Inverse VIX
funds have nearly tripled in size this year alone. The amount of assets
tracking short-volatility products rose above that of their
long-volatility counterparts for the first time in two years in the
third quarter.
In
fact, regardless of direction, volatility itself is an in-demand asset
class. The popularity of volatility products far outweighs that of other
prominent corners in the U.S.-listed ETF market. With $4.6 billion in
assets, they are larger than funds tracking any single European country,
other than Germany. They also have more assets than those tracking all
frontier markets and all ESG (environmental, social and governance)
strategies combined.
However, despite the growth and the stellar returns, it’s unlikely most short-volatility investors have stuck around around to see all of their triple-digit profit. Because of the funds’
structure, holding periods tend to be as short as a few days or even just a few hours.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-06/most-cash-ever-backs-these-short-volatility-funds-as-calm-rules
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