The New York Times had the definitive take on the vicious sell off in gold. To summarize one of their articles:
Two
years ago gold bugs ran wild as the price of gold rose nearly six
times. But since cresting two years ago it has steadily declined, almost
by half, putting the gold bugs in flight. The most recent advisory
from a leading Wall Street firm suggests that the price will continue to
drift downward, and may ultimately settle 40% below current levels.
The
rout says a lot about consumer confidence in the worldwide recovery.
The sharply reduced rates of inflation combined with resurgence of
other, more economically productive investments, such as stocks, real
estate, and bank savings have combined to eliminate gold's allure.
This
analysis provides a good representation of the current conventional
wisdom. The only twist here is that the article from which this summary
is derived appeared in the August 29, 1976 edition of The New York
Times. At that time gold was preparing to embark on an historic rally
that would push it up more than 700% a little over three years later. Is
it possible that the history is about to repeat itself?
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